Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035890 0.038729 0.041707 0.045067 0.048759 0.052697 0.057224
2025-04-13 0.031665 0.035732 0.040233 0.045603 0.051860 0.058951 0.067637
2025-04-20 0.028543 0.033296 0.038771 0.045587 0.053898 0.063775 0.076510
2025-04-27 0.026540 0.031806 0.038076 0.046160 0.056403 0.069081 0.086166
2025-05-04 0.024585 0.030125 0.036904 0.045904 0.057684 0.072782 0.093928
2025-05-11 0.023009 0.028746 0.035935 0.045733 0.058933 0.076391 0.101721
2025-05-18 0.021626 0.027486 0.034987 0.045449 0.059921 0.079618 0.109140
2025-05-25 0.020494 0.026459 0.034244 0.045341 0.061069 0.083061 0.117059
2025-06-01 0.019292 0.025252 0.033167 0.044666 0.061323 0.085189 0.123139
2025-06-08 0.018148 0.024052 0.032014 0.043786 0.061183 0.086675 0.128287
2025-06-15 0.017262 0.023153 0.031218 0.043345 0.061622 0.089001 0.134875
2025-06-22 0.016470 0.022340 0.030490 0.042942 0.062062 0.091317 0.141584
2025-06-29 0.015587 0.021362 0.029484 0.042080 0.061757 0.092471 0.146514
2025-07-06 0.015158 0.021014 0.029371 0.042548 0.063542 0.097060 0.157670
2025-07-13 0.014626 0.020486 0.028961 0.042528 0.064531 0.100397 0.166917
2025-07-20 0.014278 0.020212 0.028910 0.043054 0.066422 0.105351 0.179506
2025-07-27 0.013759 0.019657 0.028403 0.042818 0.067024 0.108125 0.188292
2025-08-03 0.013296 0.019164 0.027963 0.042660 0.067734 0.111117 0.197742
2025-08-10 0.012838 0.018659 0.027481 0.042400 0.068241 0.113762 0.206740
2025-08-17 0.012446 0.018238 0.027109 0.042300 0.069011 0.116924 0.217053
2025-08-24 0.011961 0.017653 0.026451 0.041679 0.068811 0.118258 0.223714
2025-08-31 0.011464 0.017029 0.025704 0.040869 0.068220 0.118803 0.228740
2025-09-07 0.011080 0.016571 0.025207 0.040464 0.068337 0.120703 0.236851